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NFL Week 13 Betting Guide: Thanksgiving Football Picks, Odds & Analysis

As Americans gather to feast on Thanksgiving favorites, the NFL serves up a tasty three-game slate for football fans and bettors alike. The holiday tradition continues with an NFC North clash between the Chicago Bears and Detroit Lions, followed by an NFC East rivalry showdown featuring the New York Giants and Dallas Cowboys. The nightcap puts the Miami Dolphins in the national spotlight as they visit the Green Bay Packers.

Whether you’re looking to spice up your Thanksgiving with some action or just want to be prepared for the “friendly family wager,” we’ve got you covered with a comprehensive betting guide. Our NFL experts examine the matchups in depth, analyzing the latest odds, trends, and prop bet opportunities. Consider this your recipe for turkey day gambling success – just add money!

Bears at Lions Betting Preview

The 10-1 Lions host their annual Thanksgiving contest as heavy 9.5-point favorites over the struggling 4-7 Bears. Detroit rides a nine-game win streak and now has the shortest odds (+275) to hoist the Lombardi Trophy. Meanwhile, Chicago stumbles in on a five-game skid, including consecutive last-minute losses to the Packers and Vikings.

With the highest total on the Thanksgiving slate at 48.5 points, oddsmakers expect the Lions’ high-powered offense to feast on a Bears defense allowing the third-most yards per play (5.96). Chicago fields the superior rushing attack, but the Lions have been stingy versus the run lately, surrendering just 3.5 yards per carry in their past three outings.

Notable Prop Bets

  • Jared Goff OVER 249.5 passing yards (-110)
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown OVER 69.5 receiving yards (-135)
  • DJ Moore OVER 69.5 receiving yards + TD (+475)
  • Caleb Williams OVER 33.5 pass attempts

The Lions are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 Thanksgiving games. Detroit is also 44-18 ATS under Dan Campbell, the best mark by any coach in the Super Bowl era.

– ESPN Stats & Information

Giants at Cowboys Betting Breakdown

It’s been a season to forget for both the Giants (2-9) and Cowboys (4-7) so far. But Dallas looks to build momentum following last week’s upset over the Commanders, while New York makes a quarterback change after losing six straight.

With the teams combining for a paltry 1-11 home record, conventional wisdom about home-field advantage gets thrown out the window. The Cowboys are laying 3.5 points with an Over/Under of 37.5 – the lowest on the Turkey Day menu. The ‘Boys eked out a 20-15 win in the Meadowlands earlier this season but are 0-5 straight up and ATS in their own barn this year.

Top Player Props To Target

  • Rico Dowdle OVER 69.5 rushing yards
  • Malik Nabers 6+ receptions & CeeDee Lamb 7+ receptions (+180)

The Cowboys are 11-4 ATS against the Giants since 2017. But unders have cashed in five straight Giants games against losing teams.

– ESPN Stats & Information

Dolphins at Packers Odds, Picks & Props

The holiday finale brings the surging 5-6 Dolphins to Lambeau Field, where they’re catching 3.5 points from the 8-3 Packers. Both teams enter riding win streaks – three for Miami and six of seven for Green Bay.

With playoff implications on the line, the stakes are raised for this interconference clash. The Packers can strengthen their wild-card position, while the ‘Fins fight to stay relevant in a loaded AFC East. Frigid temperatures could play a factor, as Miami has dropped 11 straight in sub-40 degree conditions – yet the Over/Under sits at a balmy 47.5.

Prop Picks To Cick

  • Tua Tagovailoa OVER 1.5 passing TDs (+110)
  • Tyreek Hill OVER 59.5 receiving yards (-135)
  • Jayden Reed OVER 49.5 receiving yards (-120)

The Dolphins are 5-1 ATS in their past six games on short rest. But the Packers have been dominant at home in frigid conditions, going 8-3 straight up and ATS when the temperature is 32 or below under Matt LaFleur.

– ESPN Stats & Information

After digesting our detailed Thanksgiving betting buffet, you should be well-equipped to tackle the holiday card. Remember, always wager responsibly and don’t let the gravy train go off the rails. Now go stuff your face, enjoy some football, and please pass the cranberry sauce!