As the NFL regular season reaches its climax, two pivotal matchups kick off the Week 16 slate on Saturday. The Houston Texans visit the Kansas City Chiefs in an AFC showdown, followed by a heated AFC North clash between the Pittsburgh Steelers and Baltimore Ravens. With major playoff implications on the line, here are our expert betting picks and top prop bets for each contest.
Texans at Chiefs (-3.5, 42.5)
The Chiefs opened as slight favorites but the line has shifted in their direction with positive reports on Patrick Mahomes’ ankle injury. Kansas City can clinch the AFC’s top seed and a first-round bye with a win, while the Texans aim to improve their wild card position.
Expert Picks
- Mahomes UNDER 249.5 passing yards (-140): The Chiefs signal-caller isn’t 100% and faces a tough Texans secondary allowing the 8th-fewest passing yards.
- Nico Collins OVER 89.5 receiving yards (-105): The talented Texans wideout has torched inconsistent secondaries this year and is averaging 94.3 yards per game.
Steelers at Ravens (-6.5, 45.5)
Despite trailing in the standings, the Ravens are heavy home favorites in this crucial AFC North battle. Baltimore QB Lamar Jackson is having his best passing season, while the Steelers’ stingy defense has shown some cracks in recent weeks.
Prop Bet Picks
- Jackson OVER 224.5 passing yards (-120): The Ravens’ dual-threat star has eclipsed this total in 8 of his last 10 games and should shine in a bounce-back home performance.
- Derrick Henry UNDER 79.5 rushing yards (+105): The Steelers’ run defense remains formidable, holding opponents to just 3.8 yards per carry on the road. Henry has gone under this mark in 4 of his last 7 outings.
No matter which side you lean, expect plenty of drama and excitement as these four AFC contenders battle for playoff positioning on Saturday. Study the betting trends, weigh the expert insights, then lock in your picks before kickoff. Every edge counts in the NFL postseason chase.
