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Aviva Mulls Higher Bid for Direct Line Amid UK M&A Surge

The London stock market was set ablaze on Thursday as a flurry of high-profile takeover offers sent share prices soaring. At the center of the action was Direct Line, whose shares skyrocketed over 40% amid speculation that insurance giant Aviva could return with an even sweeter bid after its initial £3.3bn offer was rebuffed.

Aviva’s Rejected Bid Sparks Takeover Frenzy

Aviva’s approach, which valued Direct Line at 250p per share, was swiftly rejected by the car insurer’s board as “highly opportunistic” and substantially undervaluing the company. The offer, comprised of cash and Aviva shares, marked the third bid for Direct Line this year, following two unsuccessful attempts by Belgian insurer Ageas.

Despite the rejection, analysts believe Aviva could return with an improved offer north of 270p per share. One industry expert noted, “There’s a case to be made that Aviva is a better suitor, given it already shares markets with Direct Line in the UK, but it’ll need to up its game – and its offer – if it wants Direct Line to take the proposal seriously.”

A String of Deals Lights Up London

The takeover drama at Direct Line was just one of several deals that energized the London market on Thursday:

  • US private equity firm Fortress Investment Group struck a £338m deal to acquire cafe bar chain Loungers, which operates 280 venues across England and Wales under the Lounge, Cosy Club, and Brightside brands.
  • Australian asset manager Macquarie agreed to buy waste management firm Renewi for £700m, a year after its initial lower offer was rejected. Renewi recently sold its UK municipal waste collection business to rival Biffa.

The spate of takeovers has raised concerns about the dwindling number of UK-listed firms and the overall health of the London market. Chancellor Rachel Reeves recently promised an overhaul of capital markets to address these issues.

So many UK-listed companies are being taken over because the market didn’t spot the value on offer.

– Dan Coatsworth, investment analyst at AJ Bell

Direct Line’s Turnaround Efforts

The takeover interest in Direct Line comes as the insurer grapples with challenges in its core business. Earlier this month, the company announced plans to cut 550 jobs as part of a £50m cost-saving drive after losing nearly 400,000 car insurance customers over the past year.

Direct Line’s new CEO, Adam Winslow, who ironically joined from Aviva in March, faces the daunting task of turning around the company’s fortunes while fending off unwanted suitors. Industry watchers will be keenly observing how the takeover saga unfolds and whether Aviva can sweeten the deal enough to win over Direct Line’s resistant board.

As the London market continues to sizzle with takeover activity, one thing is clear: UK-listed companies are increasingly finding themselves in the crosshairs of ambitious acquirers, both domestic and foreign. The coming weeks and months could see further dramatic developments in this fast-moving space.