As the NFL season enters Week 7, savvy bettors are scouring the player prop market for enticing wagers. According to seasoned gambling experts, a few key matchups and trends could lead to big payouts for those willing to take calculated risks.
Justin Herbert Poised to Exploit Cardinals’ Pass Defense
Los Angeles Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert faces a vulnerable Arizona Cardinals secondary on Monday Night Football. Despite the Chargers’ low-volume passing attack, Herbert’s cannon arm and the Cardinals’ porous pass defense make the over on his passing yards prop a tempting bet.
Arizona ranks near the bottom of the league in nearly every passing defense metric:
- 31st in completion percentage allowed (72%)
- 31st in yards per attempt allowed (8.1)
- Tied for 28th in completions of 10+ yards allowed (61)
With the game’s projected competitiveness and back-and-forth nature, Herbert should have ample opportunity to eclipse the over. Coupling this with an anytime touchdown wager on his top target, Ladd McConkey, could prove lucrative for risk-tolerant bettors.
Rookie Running Backs Ready to Rumble
First-year ball-carriers Bijan Robinson and Tyler Allgeier have burst onto the scene for the Atlanta Falcons. Though operating in a timeshare, both backs get opportunities to showcase their skills each week.
Robinson, in particular, looks primed for success against the Seattle Seahawks’ vulnerable run defense. The Seahawks have allowed the second-most rushing yards before contact per attempt (3.13), setting the stage for the explosive rookie to feast.
“Robinson ranks 12th among running backs in rushing yards before first contact (220). This matchup is tailor-made for his skill set.”
– Anonymous NFL scout
Meanwhile, Allgeier has a knack for breaking off big gainers, as evidenced by his 8th-highest breakaway run rate. With Seattle surrendering the second-most rushes of 20+ yards, an over wager on Allgeier’s longest rush prop could pay dividends.
Don’t Sleep on the Jaguars’ Bigsby
With Jacksonville Jaguars’ star running back Travis Etienne Jr. likely sidelined, rookie Tank Bigsby steps into the spotlight against the New England Patriots. The Pats have struggled to contain opposing rushers, allowing seven different RBs to find paydirt this season.
As the presumed lead back and go-to option near the goal line, Bigsby’s anytime touchdown prop holds tremendous value. The Jaguars coaching staff would be wise to rely on the bruising back to exploit a favorable matchup and bounce back from last week’s disappointing loss.
Sleeper Pick: Jordan Addison Over Receiving Yards
After a slow start to his sophomore campaign, Minnesota Vikings wide receiver Jordan Addison appears poised for a breakout performance against the Detroit Lions. The Lions have been generous to opposing wideouts, allowing the fourth-most receiving yards per game (211).
With Detroit’s fearsome pass-rusher Aidan Hutchinson sidelined, Vikings quarterback Sam Darnold should have more time to target Addison downfield. In a game with a lofty point total and razor-thin spread, the over on Addison’s receiving yards prop is a sneaky-good bet.
As always, remember to bet responsibly and within your means. While these prop bets offer enticing upside, it’s crucial to approach them with a level head and sound bankroll management. With a strategic approach and a bit of luck, Week 7 could prove quite profitable for discerning NFL bettors.
