As the 2024 NFL season approaches its midway point, the race for division titles and playoff spots is heating up. In a league that prides itself on parity, several unexpected teams are making a push to unseat the usual contenders. ESPN surveyed a group of NFL executives to get their predictions on which squads will ultimately claim the division crowns and punch their tickets to the postseason.
AFC East: Bills Poised to Maintain Dominance
In the AFC East, the Buffalo Bills appear to be the clear favorite to secure another division title. Despite some offensive inconsistencies, the Bills boast a complete roster with playmakers on both sides of the ball. “They are a complete team,” an AFC executive noted. “Defense is really disciplined, playmakers on offense have stepped up and Josh Allen is playing really well.” While the Miami Dolphins could make a playoff push, most believe their defensive limitations will prevent them from truly challenging Buffalo for the top spot.
NFC East: Commanders Making a Surprise Run
The Washington Commanders have emerged as an early contender in the NFC East, thanks in large part to the leadership of head coach Dan Quinn. Despite a roster that many viewed as lacking elite talent, Quinn has his team playing above expectations. “That’s not a great roster, particularly on defense, and they are pulling out wins impressively,” an NFL personnel man observed. However, the Philadelphia Eagles’ explosive offense led by Jalen Hurts and bolstered by the addition of Saquon Barkley in free agency still make them the favorites to ultimately claim the division.
AFC West: Chiefs Face Stiff Competition
The AFC West is shaping up to be one of the most competitive divisions in football, with the Kansas City Chiefs, Los Angeles Chargers, and Denver Broncos all vying for playoff spots. The Chiefs remain the favorites, but their offense has struggled at times this season. The Chargers’ hopes rest on the continued development of Justin Herbert, while the Broncos are riding a stifling defense and the steady play of quarterback Bo Nix. Most executives polled believe the division will send two teams to the playoffs, with Denver having a slight edge over Los Angeles for the final spot.
NFC West: Cardinals Emerge as Sleeper
The Arizona Cardinals are turning heads in the NFC West, a division typically dominated by the San Francisco 49ers and Los Angeles Rams. “Arizona could surprise people and win that thing,” an AFC executive predicted. “It’s not a great division this year. San Francisco is hurt, and they will have a chance.” The dynamic play of Kyler Murray and the underrated contributions of running back James Conner have the Cardinals poised to make a run. However, the 49ers remain the favorites if they can get healthy, particularly with the impending return of Christian McCaffrey.
AFC North: Steelers Surging, Ravens Eyeing Super Bowl
The Pittsburgh Steelers have found new life with Russell Wilson under center, and many executives believe they have the talent to win the AFC North. “Really good on defense, and the development of George Pickens on offense is big — he’s clearly more comfortable with Russell,” an NFL personnel evaluator noted. However, the Baltimore Ravens remain a popular pick to not only win the division but represent the AFC in the Super Bowl. Lamar Jackson is playing some of the best football of his career, and the Ravens’ diverse offensive attack makes them a nightmare to defend.
NFC North: A Clash of Titans
The NFC North is shaping up to be the best division in football, with the Green Bay Packers, Detroit Lions, Minnesota Vikings, and Chicago Bears all posting impressive records. The Lions have emerged as the favorites, with a deep and versatile roster capable of beating teams in multiple ways. “They can beat you in more ways than anyone,” an NFC scout claimed. However, the Packers are nipping at their heels and could make a statement with a win over Detroit in Week 9. The Vikings and Bears also remain firmly in the mix in what promises to be a thrilling race to the finish.
AFC South: Colts Coming for the Crown
The Houston Texans have jumped out to an early lead in the AFC South, but a rash of injuries has left them vulnerable. Enter the Indianapolis Colts, who made the bold decision to bench rookie Anthony Richardson in favor of veteran Joe Flacco. The move was a clear signal that the Colts believe they can make a run at the division title. With Jonathan Taylor powering the ground game and a solid offensive line, Indianapolis has the pieces in place to make a push. The Jacksonville Jaguars and Tennessee Titans, meanwhile, appear headed for lost seasons.
NFC South: A Two-Team Race
The NFC South looks to be a two-team race between the Atlanta Falcons and Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The New Orleans Saints are in the midst of a difficult rebuild, while the Carolina Panthers are still searching for answers. The Falcons have the slight edge thanks to a more consistent offense led by Kirk Cousins. The Buccaneers’ hopes rest on the shoulders of Baker Mayfield, who has flashed brilliance at times but struggles with consistency. “It’s like the battle of the fastest snail,” an NFL coordinator joked. In the end, Atlanta’s ability to generate pressure on defense could be the difference-maker.
Early Super Bowl Favorites: Ravens vs. Lions
As for early Super Bowl predictions, many executives are eyeing a potential matchup between the Baltimore Ravens and Detroit Lions. The Ravens’ explosive offense and improved play from Lamar Jackson make them a popular pick to emerge from the AFC. In the NFC, the Lions’ versatility and depth have them positioned as the early favorites to reach the big game. Dark horse contenders include the Steelers in the AFC and the Packers in the NFC, two historic franchises with the talent to make a run.
As the 2024 NFL season marches on, the battles for division supremacy and playoff positioning will only intensify. While early favorites have emerged, the unpredictable nature of the NFL means that nothing is guaranteed. As one executive put it, “There’s a lot of football left to be played. Anything can happen.” For now, all eyes will be on the Ravens and Lions as they look to validate their status as Super Bowl contenders, while the rest of the league aims to defy expectations and forge their own path to glory.
